Most of us have seen what happens when a pot of water, sitting on a heated stove top, starts to boil. Bubbles form on the bottom of the water, and when they get big enough, they start to rise. But, if all the bubbles were to rise without any water
Read DetailsNational Weather Service (NWS) offices from Florida northward to the Carolinas have been publishing numerous “local action statements” and other information about Category 4 (Major Hurricane) Matthew (Fig. 1). Included are probabilities of various weather hazards, flooding maps, storm track maps and much more. Local media outlets, reliable weather bloggers,
Read DetailsThere’s an old expression about, “proximity.” It goes, “close, but no cigars.” That was clearly contrived in another era. However, in the case of Matthew, close may be close enough. The latest National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) projected track for Matthew brings him very close to the Florida east coast near
Read DetailsThis morning, while Matthew continues to pummel parts of the western Caribbean with high winds, high waves, heavy rainfall, mudslides and more, forecasters are becoming increasingly concerned about Matthew’s future. Matthew now poses a significant risk to much of the U.S. East Coast. Governors in several states have already declared
Read DetailsThe overall picture of the future of powerful Hurricane Matthew remains little changed since yesterday. Following a cyclonic loop and a slow course adjustment to the northwest, Matthew is still just moving at a five-mile per hour forward speed. Over the next five days, Matthew is expected to make relatively
Read DetailsOvernight, hurricane hunter aircraft and satellite imagery intensity estimates placed Hurricane Matthew in a Category 5 status. A category 5 hurricane is one with sustained winds of 157 miles per hour (137 knots) or more. At 8:00 a.m. E.D.T., on Oct. 1, 2016, Matthew’s winds were estimated to be just
Read DetailsComputer models keep suggesting the development of an “omega block” across western Canada by late this week. Such a block can involve a splitting of the overall upper level wind flow by a closed high to the north and a closed low to its south (Fig. 1). Alternatively, the pattern
Read DetailsAs quickly as Newton formed, it has begun its demise. Moving across rough terrain in northwestern Mexico, Newton has been downgraded to tropical storm status early this Wednesday morning. By this evening, according to National Hurricane Center forecasters, Newton should be in depression status as it moves across southeastern Arizona
Read DetailsTake a look at today’s early morning (Sept. 3, 2016) Hermine forecast track from the National Hurricane Center – NHC (Fig. 1) and you’ll see several things appear to be, well, just plain weird. However, there is some good rationale behind each of these. First, Hermine is expected to slow
Read DetailsFiona (the sixth Atlantic tropical cyclone of the 2016 season) recently passed. In her wake, Gaston briefly reached hurricane strength far out in the Atlantic. Another tropical system (99L) near the Bahamas is still showing signs of intensifying this weekend as it approaches the Florida Straits. And, more African waves
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