THEWEATHERMOGIL:: More stormy times followed by chilly weather for southwest Florida

H. Michael Mogil January 22, 2016

With a potentially crippling snowstorm/blizzard set to affect the mid-Atlantic states today and Saturday, it would be easy to lose a local focus. However, since I am slated to give a weather talk at the Friends of Barefoot Beach Lecture Series tomorrow (Jan. 23, 2016), keeping atop of local conditions is uber-important.

Let’s face it, the weather this month across Florida has been quite interesting. And the next 36 to 48 hours will keep that trend intact, according to the National Weather Service in Miami, FL (Fig. 1).

Today, showers and thunderstorms (some storms strong to possibly severe) should move across the area. Winds will be increasing from the south to southeast with gusts up to 30 miles per hour. As dew points rise into the middle 60’s and a very strong upper level stream flies past at some 30,000 feet or so above sea level, conditions continue to move toward a severe storm set up.

Once the storms exit, winds will shift to the northwest and remain gusty in the 25 to 30 mile per hour range over land. Over water areas, winds are expected to reach gale force, even near the store. This will set the stage, yet again, for strong wave action and rip currents along Florida west coast beaches. Local beach erosion and considerable sand transport can be anticipated.

Look for temperatures to tumble across southwest Florida with highs over the weekend only rising into the lower 60’s with overnight lows dropping into the lower and middle 40’s. Inland locations could see some readings in the upper 30’s.

As next week unfolds, temperatures will rise back to near or slightly above seasonal averages.

As for my talk tomorrow, I am nearly 100 percent certain that I will be leading my audience to the beach to look at wind and wave action at work. We should also have ample low-level cloudiness in place which will allow me to explain winds aloft.

My talk starts at 10:00 a.m. E.S.T. at Barefoot Beach Park, entrance off Bonita Beach Road, Bonita Springs, FL (address 503 Bonita Beach Road, North Naples, FL 34134).

Originally posted 1/22/16

Tags: 3.14, 99L, AC, AccuWeather, ACE, ACT, advisory, Africa, agriculture, Air Force, air mass, air quality, aircraft, airline, airport, Alabama, Alaska, algal bloom, altitude, altocumulus, answer, Antarctica, anti-crepuscular rays, app, Apple, application, arctic, Arizona, Arkansas, ASD, ashcloud, Atlanta, Atlantic, Atlantic Ocean, autism, autumn, average, aviation, awareness, Bachmann, Bahamas, balloon, Barra, beach, beacherosion, Bermuda, BF, Big Bend, bing, biology, biomes, birds, Black Friday, blizzard, blocking, bomb, Bonita Springs, Boston, Bow, bow echo, brain, Broward, Buffalo, Business, California, calorie, Canada, Candy Crush, canyon, Cape Cod, Cape Verde, CapitalOne, car, Caribbean, Carolinas, Carson, cash back, CAT 1, CAT 5, CategoryFive, CategoryOne, Central Plains, Central U.S., Charlotte, check, checking, Chicago, chill, chilly, Christmas, Christmas Star, circles, cirrus, climate, climate change, climate zones, climatology, cloud, clouds, Coast, coastal flooding, COCORAHS, cold, cold front, college testing, Collier, Collier County, color-blindness, Colorado, Common Core, communication, computer, conjunction, contractor, convection, converge, convergence, cool, cooling degree days, Coronavirus, coverage, covid-19, covid19, credit, creditcards, crepuscular, crepuscular rays, crime, Cristobal, critic, CS/HB 7069, cumulonimbus, cumulus, current, Customer, customer service, cyclone, Dakotas, Darby, data, date, debate, deep south, degree days, Denver, deposition, Des Moines, desert, dew, Dew point, dewpoint, diameter, donut, Doppler radar, Dorian, Dothan, downburst, downdraft, downslope, drought, Dry, dry line, Drying, Dunkin’ Donuts, dust, e-mail, Earth, east, east coast, Eastern Pacific, Eastern Pacific Ocean, eastern US, eddy, Education, Emily, England, enhanced imagery, entrepreneur, equation, erosion, Eta, Europe, evacuation, evaporate, evaporative, eye, eye wall, fall streaks, family, fat, Federal, filters, fire, fire weather, fires, first responders, fish, FL, flash flood, flash flooding, flood, flooding, Florida, FLWX, focal point, fog, folder, folklore, forest fires, Fort Myers, freeze, freezing rain, frequent flyer, front, Frost, Ft. Myers, funnel, funnel cloud, gale, gale warnings, gales, game, garden, garden hose, Gaston, gauge, George Clooney, Georgia, geostationary, GLM, global warming, GM, gmail, GOES, GOES-16, GOES-R, GOESR, google, Gore, government, gradient, Great Lakes, Great Salt Lake, Greenhouse gas, ground fog, Groundhog, grushfire, Guadalupe Mountains, Guadalupe Peak, Gulf Coast, Gulf of Mexico, gust, gusts, hail, hair, Haiti, Harvey, Hawaii, Hawking, health, heat, heating degree days, heavy rain, heavy rainfall, heavy snow, hemisphere, Hendry, Hermine, High, High Plains, high surf, high temperature, high wind warnings, high-pressure, home, homework, Honolulu, hose, Houston, humid, humidity, hurricane, hurricane hunter aircraft, Hurricane Matthew, hurricanes, I75, Ian, ice, ice cap, ice storm, Illinois, image, images, inch, India, Indiana, Indianapolis, infrared, instability, Insurance, Intermountain, IOS, IOS 7, Iowa, iphone, IR, Ireland, Irma, IRS, isothermal layer, Jamaica, Japan, jet stream, Jupiter, Kansas, Karen, kitchen, koppen, Krispy Kreme, lake, lake effect, Lake Erie, Lake Ontario, Lake Tahoe, lake-effect snow, latitude, law, LD, learn, learning, Lee, Lee County, life, lift, Lightning, lightning detection, logic, Long Island, longshore current, Louisiana, low, low temperature, low-pressure, low-pressure system, low-pressure systems, lows, luggage, Macy's, mail, Maine, mall, Marco Island, Mars, Maryland, Massachusetts, math, Mathworks, Matthew, Maui, MCC, MCS, media, Memorial Day, mentor, mentoring, meso-cyclone, mesocyclone, mesoscale, Mesoscale Convective System, meteorological bomb, meteorologist, meteorology, Mexico, Miami, Michigan, microns, mid-atlantic, Midwest, military, Minneapolis, Minnesota, Mississippi, Mississippi River valley, Mississippi Valley, misture, mixing, models, moisture, monsoon, Montague, Montana, moods, moon, mountain, mountains, movie, Naples, NASA, Nate, National Climatic Data Center, National Hurricane Center, natural world, nature, Nebraska, Nevada, New England, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, news, Newton, NHC, NOAA, nor’easter, North Carolina, Northeast, northern, northern hemisphere, Northern Plains, number, numbers, NWS, Oahu, Obamacare, observation, observations, observe, observer, Ohio, Ohio Valley, Okeechobee, Oklahoma, omega, omega block, omega high, online, Ophelia, order, organize, organizing, OS, outbreak, outflow, outflow boundaries, outflow boundary, outlook, Pacific Northwest, Palm Beach, Panhandle, paper, parade, parent, pattern, patterns, Pavlof, pedometer, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, photographs, photography, Pi, PiDay, Plains, polar, polar vortex, political, ponding, precipitable water, precipitation, preparedness, pressure, pressure gradient, primary, problem, Puerto Rico, Punxsutawney Phil, question, radar, radiosonde, radius, rain, Rain shadow, rainbow, rainbows, raindrop, raindrops, rainfall, rainshadow, rainy, record, records, Red Flag Warnings, red tide, responsibility, review, reward, rewards, Rhode Island, ridge, ridges, rip current, ripple, risk, Rockies, Rocky Mountains, RSW Airport, Russia, safety, Saffir-Simpson, San Diego, San Francisco, Sandy, Santa Ana, SAT, satellite, Saturn, scandal, school, science, Scotland, SDO, sea breeze, sea surface temperature, seabreeze, seas, Season, seasonal, seasons, service, severe, severe thunderstorms, severe weather, shadow, Shinseki, shower, showers, shutdown, Sidewalk, Sierra Nevada, Sky, sky awareness, sky awareness week, sky optics, sky watching, sleet, small craft advisory, smoke, snow, snow removal, snowfall, Snowstorm, social, sounding, south, South Carolina, South Dakota, Southeast, Southeast U.S., southern Plains, southwest, southwest Florida, space, space weather, Spaghetti plot, SPC, spiders, spiral bands, spirals, spotters, spring, St. Cloud, Starbucks, statistics, Steps, StevenHawking, stock, storm, storm damage, storm surge, storm warnings, storms, Stormsurge, STRIIV, structural current, student, students, study, sub-freezing, sublimation, subsidence, summer, summer camp, summer camps, sun, sun dog, sunset, sunspot, Super Tuesday, supercells, supercomputer, surge, SW Florida, Swells, Tampa, technology, teen, temperature, Tennessee, Tennessee River Valley, Tennessee Valley, test, test-taking, tests, Texas, thanksgiving, The Perfect Storm, The Weather Channel, think, thinking, thundersnow, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, time, tornado, tornado warnings, tornado watches, tornadoes, train, training, transportation, travel, tropic, tropical, tropical cyclone, tropical storm, tropical storms, tropical wave, tropical weather, tropicalstorm, tropics, troughs, Tug Hill Plateau, tutoring, twas, TWC, twilight, typhoon, U.K., U.S., UK, unenhanced imagery, updraft, Upper level, upper low, Upper winds, upper-level winds, US, Utah, vacation, vegetation, Venus, veteran, virga, Virginia, virtual, virus, visibility, visible, vocabulary, volcano, vortex, voting, Waikiki, walk, warm, warmth, warning, warnings, warranty, Washington DC, watch, watches, water, water cycle, water vapor, waterspout, Watertown, wave, waves, weather, weather camp, WeatherNation, west, West Coast, West Virginia, Wet-bulb effect, wildfire, wind, wind chill, wind shear, winds, windy, winter, winter storm, Wipha, Wisconsin, word, work, WRN, WV, Wyoming, Yucatan Peninsula,

You May Also Like:

US Weather Pattern Becoming More Active (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

Interesting Weather Day and Weather Week On Tap (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

Long duration lake-effect snow event underway (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

A Significant Dixie chill (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)